Global warming just isn't happening: Official
We ought to start expecting our governments to abandon doomsday scenarios in the guise of popular science in favour of old-fashioned, ‘under-the-microscope’, empirical science
Spin it as “stalled”. Spin it any way you want. The cold reality is that global warming just isn’t happening. In truth, it hasn’t been happening for 16 years. And, according to one of the world’s leading contributors to the UN IPCC’s theory on climate, the UK Meteorological Office, it isn’t going to happen over the next five years either. Beyond that, who knows? The Met Office certainly doesn’t – so neither does the UN IPCC.
Just last year, the UK Met Office Hadley Center confidently predicted the average global temperature must rise incrementally by around 0.2oC decade by decade driven by CO2 rises. No small incremental rise. Then, on Christmas Eve, something curious happened. The UK Met Office posted a note on its website announcing it was downgrading its assessment.
Now we should remember that the Met Office white coats had long derided sceptics who questioned their assessment and their call for immediate government action. All of which helps explain why they tried to bury the news of their ‘revised’ downgrade by publishing it on Christmas Eve.
Unfortunately, though much of the pro-alarmist media duly missed its relevance, an alert blogger and the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) appreciated the implications of the story only too well, eventually forcing it onto the front pages in the national media.
The BBC’s pro-alarmist David Shukman interpreted the downgrade as meaning “there won’t have been much global warming for the past 20 years”. But the downgrading of the Met Office’s earlier prediction of an average of 0.54oC rise to a 0.43oC above the 1971-2000 average, with the usual provision for “natural variability” (so it may well be much less), is far more significant than that. And it was left to GWPF’s Dr David Whitehouse to state the case more accurately, “Actually there won’t have been any global warming” in over two decades.
Now just a cotton pickin’ minute. Wasn’t it the hard-line prediction of the UK Met Office Hadley Center that set the UK’s (and the UN IPCC’s) climate hare running big-time?
Within a year of the assessment, the UK passed its infamous Climate Act, the first of its kind in the world. It was widely touted as the “most expensive legislation in history”. The Act effectively committed the UK to foot an annual extra ‘de-carbonising’ spending bill of over £18 billion every year for the next 40 years. It’s the kind of government spending action the UN IPCC is urging on all governments, especially in the developed world, even in the face of the current global economic crisis.
But the simple fact is that the UK Met Office’s predictive credibility beyond assessing the next few days’ weather prospects has long been a national laughing stock. There was the farce of its warning over a “barbecue summer” prior to one of the UK’s coolest summers for decades. Then more than one warning about warming-induced perennial drought conditions just before the UK experienced extended periods of rainy weather causing major flooding.
As long-time critic of the Met Office Paul Hudson points out, “In the 12 years to 2011, 11 out of 12 [Met Office predictions] were too high.”
The alarmist media, including the New Scientist, immediately went into over-drive to explain the... er... unforeseen “standstill”. And right away it became clear that any theory would do – just so long as it didn’t torpedo entirely the central theory: that anthropogenic emissions are primarily to blame and thus global warming must resume at some future stage. But then the same computer models also insisted that temperatures must continue to rise because CO2 emissions are rising. Oops.
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