How long can Tory denial about UKIP pact last?
The mind can be an amazing thing. How much longer can the denial continue over a Tory-UKIP electoral pact, even after latest polls?
There's a phrase much loved by the advertising types: By the time you're sick to death of pushing out a message, that might be the point at which it's finally getting through. There's also a mantra much beloved of the psychiatrists: you can't address a problem until you acknowledge that it exists.
This will be very short (and forget the fact that we've been advocating a Tory-UKIP electoral pact in 2015 for ages; the message hasn't got through). Concentrate on the second point.
The Daily Mail headlined its latest article on the subject thus: "Shock poll could force Tories into UKIP pact: Labour could win a 60-seat majority at the next election." What shock? When in living memory (unless you remember the 1980s and the early 1990s) has convincing polling evidence shown that the Conservative Party might win an outright majority?
The Mail reported: "The poll of Conservative marginals by billionaire Tory peer Lord Ashcroft found that despite the Labour leader’s recent political troubles, his party has a healthy lead in 32 of the key seats." And the great surprise is?
UK politics (and if your'e interested, politics across the West) has hit rock bottom, even in terms of basic intelligence.
We'll spell it out. Then go and get excited about the LibDem party conference, if you've really got nothing better or more interesting to do.
1. The Conservative Party does not command the electoral support or the broad sympathies of enough Brits to secure a parliamentary majority on its own.
2. UKIP, which commands enough public support to tip the balance, is overwhelmingly supported by disaffected, disappointed Tory voters.
3. If the Conservative Party wants to lead or run the next British government it will have to do a deal with UKIP in 2015 so that the vote among natural supporters of the political right is not split in such a way that a) there is another Tory-led coalition with the flabby LibDems b) there is a Labour-Lib Dem coalition, or c) Labour wins outright.
It's really that simple. No, it's THAT simple. Now internalise that, or go away and bury your head in the sand..
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